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Soccer Forum
Some comments?
Posted By: DOXARAS-4- In Response To: picks, add record later (Bri)
Date: 28 Nov 03, 11:19 am
Could you provide some reasoning for the picks? Most of the time I like your bets alot. This week I haven't studied the matches much, but I will give some comments for the Newcastle pick because it is one of the matches that I had capped well before this week:
There are 2-3 great positive factors and for your bet:
a) Wolves simply suck so far. How will this team be able to stop Toon attack if they can't stop anybody? Then again how on earth could this not be in the lines?
b) This is a huge match for the Toon Army. Wolves killed our hopes for a decent FA Cup run in Molineux last year beating us 5-3. People up in Newcastle were furious about it (although actually you know Geordies wouldn't keep this to their team for too long). Anyway, story is we really want this one, but wait a minute: We are the fans! Our players have proven again and again and again and again that they don't give a flying f*** for the fans. Apart from the Lion of course. Normally you wouldn't expect the motivation to be all in the lines, but this time it is Newcastle and if the bookmakers have adjusted just a bit for their motivation to kill Wolves, it might as well be enough because our lot just can't be bothered.
c) This one could be good as it probably isn't in the lines: Toon have played much more often at 12 o'clock matches. Wolves don't have this experience. Also historically 12 o'clock matches reduce HFA so, it gets better.Then again the odds are -normally- low on the fav so I don't really know if there is value in that one.
- picks, add record later -- Bri -- 28 Nov 03, 9:35 am
- Some comments? -- DOXARAS-4- -- 28 Nov 03, 11:19 am
- I'll try to include commentary for now on -- Bri -- 29 Nov 03, 4:01 pm
- Bri you can get all these... -- Stingray -- 28 Nov 03, 2:50 pm
- Thanks stingray -- Bri -- 29 Nov 03, 4:00 pm
- results: 2-5 +.5 units (nt) -- Bri -- 30 Nov 03, 4:28 pm
- pick 12/2 -- Bri -- 2 Dec 03, 9:47 am
- result 0-1 -1 unit (nt) -- Bri -- 2 Dec 03, 2:29 pm
- picks 12/3 -- Bri -- 2 Dec 03, 11:08 pm
- adding -- Bri -- 2 Dec 03, 11:16 pm
- result:0-3 -3 units (nt) -- Bri -- 4 Dec 03, 2:54 pm
- ignore write up, I'm stupid (nt) -- Bri -- 3 Dec 03, 12:37 pm
- too hard on yourself -- DOXARAS-4- -- 3 Dec 03, 2:23 pm
- yeah, I was refering to the barcelona and corona picks -- Bri -- 4 Dec 03, 9:27 am
- yeah, I was refering to the barcelona and corona picks -- Bri -- 4 Dec 03, 9:27 am
- result:0-3 -3 units (nt) -- Bri -- 4 Dec 03, 2:54 pm
- 12/4 pick -- Bri -- 4 Dec 03, 11:08 am
- result 1-0 +2.2 units -- Bri -- 4 Dec 03, 2:53 pm
- I'll try to include commentary for now on -- Bri -- 29 Nov 03, 4:01 pm
- Some comments? -- DOXARAS-4- -- 28 Nov 03, 11:19 am
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