Soccer Forum

2 more units on futures

Posted By: DOXARAS-4-
Date: 3 Aug 03, 7:36 am

They are on big parlays all at Expekt.

I have to put big parlays in order not to tie up too much money.

1) Chelsea to collect more points than Leeds -400 (1.25). If you see any chance of the opposite happening please let me know. Seems like a bond ending in one year's time and yielding 20% (if not 25%).
2) Everton to collect more points than Blackburn 1.85. I use it on the bankers too,but nowhere near as sure as the previous one. However losing both Dunn and Duff should be huge to BB and however the talent they still have, the dynamic of Everton (even with this huge lack of talent) is much better. I think they should finish above BB even if they drop on eor 2 places compared to last year.
3) Shearer-Kewell-Beattie who will score more goals. Shearer 2.35
4) Shearer-kewell-Beattie who will score more goals. Beattie 2.90
Obviously 3 and 4 are mutually exclusive. I like Harry Kewell alot but what does he do in such a bet and given the same odds as beattie is incomprehensible to me. Ok,he will score but how much? Shearer is a scorer and only a big injury could hold him behind Kewell. Beattie is a striker too, the 2.90 on Kewell to score the most is ridiculous (should be like 10 and still way from being value). That creates value for the other 2 'blindly'. You can even say that the kind of player Kewell is shouldn't help him score as much in Liverpool. They have the quick attacker too that Leeds lacked which created territory for him, in Owen. They also have the guy to shoot the fouls (Murphy) taking away some more of his shots. But what am I doing,does it even need any reasoning?
5)Birmingham City +3.5 over Villa 1.85. Again no incredible value but I don't know why they are the dogs. i haven't checked the other sites lately but for 2 middle-of-the-pack teams 3.5 points are tooo many. Whatever the revenge factors etc, what I know is that City bought Dunn and I like him alot to add something to the team,on the other hand the momentum seems very bad for Villa and I can't see how it is impossible for them even to go down. I think too much uncertainty is the bad element of this pick,but should be at worst 50-50 who finishes above and 3.5 points are good.
6) The Beasts (Middlesbra) +19.5 points 1.85 over the Toon (Newcastle). I can pass on the Pinnacle line but not on this one. As much as I want to pass here because I feel INVOLVED here,19.5 points simply too many. I hate the Beasts so much that I even saw it in a nightmare 3 days ago that they finished only 4 points below us and qualified for Europe! Of course this is not capping. Listen: Toon seems to have all those typical problems with young talented lads doing any kind of bullshit they might think of (see what JJ did with that penalty in the Asia Cup). This is shouting: POTENTIAL NOT TO BE REALISED. If this wasn't for Conseicao opting for Borussia Dortmund (thanks a ton Flavio) I would think the Beasts can even make Europe. Generally to be fair to them they should do well,better than last year and stay within 14 or something of the Toon. Keep in mind that NUFC bares a significant risk of underperforming BIGTIME ,whilst even if they go on to win the League,there still is chance the +19.5 covers! Besides Boro is the only team whose HFA increases by the year: Players for normal environments can't put up with the inhospitable environment of the Smogtown,so an one-year-older (more accustommed to the local conditions) team has an edge:)))
7) Portsmouth to finish above Fullham +100. Not sure if the odds are good,was trying to increase the odds and lower exposure. I dislike Fullham this year and like Portsmouth so it was enough for me to take them at +100.
8) 1.65 for Wolves to finish above Leicester. Same reason with above. I am not in love with Wolves but indeed fade Leicester City.It could come back and bite me,i know but wanted to lower exposure.

Now the bets are like this:
a)0.5 units on 1-2-3-5-6 parlay (the numbers are from above) at +1760.
b)0.5 units on 1-2-4-5-6 parlay at +2195
c)0.5 units on 1-2-3-7-8 parlay at +1693
d)0.5 units on 1-2-4-7-8 parlay at +2113

Total of 2 units and total of 2 picks,not 4,as the a-b and c-d are mutually exclusive.

Messages In This Thread

2 more units on futures -- DOXARAS-4- -- 3 Aug 03, 7:36 am

you should spend more time studying if you want to be a lawyer like your pa (nt) -- God -- 5 Aug 03, 6:05 am

thanks big guy,but... -- DOXARAS-4- -- 5 Aug 03, 6:33 am

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