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DOX what are the Magpies...

Posted By: Stingray
Date: 24 Sep 03, 5:23 am

chances of beating Arsenal on Friday?
currently Newcastle are 6/1 at Premierbet and 7.20 at Betfair.They will probably get longer at BF I suspect.
Isnt this a bit off for Newcastle?I know they have had a terrible start to the Prem this year,but they still are a decent team.
I read a recent article in the racing post where Kevin Pullein states that punters overestimate the importance of recent form,like the last 4 or 5 games.He says that you must obviously place the most importance on the last game,a little less on the game before that and so on,but you must back over a good few games,he said 24 or someting like that is optimal.Every team has losing streaks as they have winning streaks.

and when you find that the odds have lengthened disproportionately due to a recent bad patch,advantage can be taken of this.

I dont know whether to back Newcastle or lay the Ars.

any thoughts?

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Messages In This Thread

DOX what are the Magpies... -- Stingray -- 24 Sep 03, 5:23 am
How would you have priced it up if it had taken place on the first day of.. -- Uk nfl fan -- 24 Sep 03, 11:39 pm
I think at the start.. -- Stingray -- 25 Sep 03, 6:25 am
If that is your reasoning for backing Newcastle, why not -- Uk nfl fan -- 26 Sep 03, 2:21 pm
Interesting...but... -- John May -- 26 Sep 03, 2:37 pm
Its all about grading the relative strengths of the teams. -- Uk nfl fan -- 27 Sep 03, 4:46 am
port vale- wycombe -- SoccerMan -- 27 Sep 03, 9:44 am
Read this -- DOXARAS-4- -- 27 Sep 03, 5:13 pm
A little background info for those that are interested. -- Uk nfl fan -- 29 Sep 03, 4:42 am
Agree with your reasoning (nt) -- John May -- 28 Sep 03, 9:34 am
Reply -- DOXARAS-4- -- 26 Sep 03, 4:54 am

 


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