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Racing Forum
completely illogical
Posted By: ricky In Response To: War Emblem likely won't be even money, and (Fezzik)
Date: 19 May 02, 10:44 pm
The book was published in 1994.
The graph I am telling you about clearly shows that 1/1 horses hve a 91% return. This is not fiction, this is not a guess. This is a study they have actually done.For you to simply wave it off and say that horses and sports follow the same public money chasing favorites and use your own guess of 40% if he closes at 1/1 is ludicrous, completely illogical and void of rational reasoning.
If you want to show me a study that you have done that shows that 40% is clearly better than 45%, or if you want to show me why my logic is not correct given the data, I'd love to see that. But in that absence, your post sounds like you are rooting for your (our) bet irrationally.
I'm just hoping that you misunderstood my post or that I am misunderstanding yours. Apologies in advance for my strong words if I misunderstood your post.
- rethinking Triple Crown no bet -- ricky -- 19 May 02, 9:00 pm
- Your "no tc" bet is safe, IMO -- Another Anon -- 19 May 02, 9:27 pm
- Magic Weisner -- D -- 19 May 02, 9:31 pm
- Don't think so -- StevieY -- 20 May 02, 11:28 am
- Don't think so -- StevieY -- 20 May 02, 11:28 am
- War Emblem likely won't be even money, and -- Fezzik -- 19 May 02, 9:53 pm
- Are horse racing markets efficient enough-- -- D -- 19 May 02, 10:19 pm
- completely illogical -- ricky -- 19 May 02, 10:44 pm
- you're both right, to a degree -- Dunbar -- 20 May 02, 3:33 am
- I don't think it's illogical at all. -- Fezzik -- 20 May 02, 9:23 am
- Patriots money line -- ricky -- 20 May 02, 9:35 am
- stats -- Duece -- 20 May 02, 6:59 pm
- Useless stats -- Seenmoreracesthananyhumanonearth -- 20 May 02, 9:16 pm
- Disagree, Seenmore -- patrick -- 21 May 02, 8:13 am
- Only my experience Patrick -- seenmoreracesthananyhumanonearth -- 21 May 02, 10:03 am
- Derby Trial -- Don Peszynski -- 21 May 02, 11:39 am
- Even a little more recent -- StevieY -- 21 May 02, 12:15 pm
- Walk down memory lane -- Duece -- 21 May 02, 1:42 pm
- Place and Show -- StevieY -- 22 May 02, 9:09 am
- Thanks for the info. (nt) -- Duece -- 22 May 02, 6:02 pm
- Variations on a Theme -- Rusty Starfish -- 23 May 02, 10:37 am
- Variations on a Theme -- Rusty Starfish -- 23 May 02, 10:37 am
- Thanks for the info. (nt) -- Duece -- 22 May 02, 6:02 pm
- Place and Show -- StevieY -- 22 May 02, 9:09 am
- Walk down memory lane -- Duece -- 21 May 02, 1:42 pm
- Only my experience Patrick -- seenmoreracesthananyhumanonearth -- 21 May 02, 10:03 am
- Disagree, Seenmore -- patrick -- 21 May 02, 8:13 am
- stats -- Duece -- 20 May 02, 6:59 pm
- Extremely dated information=pure garbage -- Seenmoreracesthananyhumanonearth -- 20 May 02, 2:19 pm
- Answer the question -- Seenmoreracesthananyhumanonearth -- 20 May 02, 2:23 pm
- Edit -- Seenmoreracesthananyhumanonearth -- 20 May 02, 2:28 pm
- point Fezzik -- ricky -- 20 May 02, 3:37 pm
- What Odds to Bet Into -- Jesse F. Knight -- 20 May 02, 4:22 pm
- What Odds to Bet Into -- Jesse F. Knight -- 20 May 02, 4:22 pm
- Edit -- Seenmoreracesthananyhumanonearth -- 20 May 02, 2:28 pm
- I don't think it's illogical at all. -- Fezzik -- 20 May 02, 9:23 am
- i also assume ... -- davie -- 20 May 02, 8:18 am
- completely illogical -- ricky -- 19 May 02, 10:44 pm
- You should have done heavy shopping. -- Math Boy -- 20 May 02, 6:55 am
- do you mean "uncomfortable"? -- Dunbar -- 20 May 02, 9:34 am
- Yeah (nt) -- Math Boy -- 20 May 02, 10:31 am
- Yeah (nt) -- Math Boy -- 20 May 02, 10:31 am
- Your NO TC Play.... -- bhead -- 20 May 02, 11:55 am
- Magic Weisner -- D -- 19 May 02, 9:31 pm
- Your "no tc" bet is safe, IMO -- Another Anon -- 19 May 02, 9:27 pm
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