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Will War Emblem win TC? No -1200

Posted By: ricky
Date: 7 May 02, 10:20 am

They have a prop : Will War Emblem win the Triple Crown +900 / -1200

Before the Derby, the prop they had was : Will anyone win the Triple Crown +700 / -1050

Obviously a horse has to win the Derby. Let's assume the line was right to begin with before the Derby (which I don't think it was, I bet the No...but let's assume its right).

So now a 20-1 horse wins it...not a 6-1 horse or even a 10-1 horse, and the line barely moves? That doesn't seem right...it should move more when a 20-1 horse wins it rather than one of the favorites. So I think -1200 is a good bet as well. Again, I know next to nothing about horses...am I deluding (sp?) myself?

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Messages In This Thread

Will War Emblem win TC? No -1200 -- ricky -- 7 May 02, 10:20 am
In your odds comparison . . . -- VM -- 7 May 02, 11:25 am
huh? -- joefu -- 7 May 02, 1:33 pm
lol - i'll assume its a joke or misunderstanding (nt) -- ricky -- 7 May 02, 10:42 pm
Good Assumption! (nt) -- VM -- 8 May 02, 7:08 am
Odds on War Emblem -- Mike Keno -- 7 May 02, 12:27 pm
agree ... but with a twist -- ricky -- 7 May 02, 10:48 pm
Also, I think calculation of fair value -- Colin Caster -- 9 May 02, 12:27 pm
but the odds for Race 3 only matters if the horse wins Race 2 -- ricky -- 9 May 02, 9:04 pm
You're right -- sorry -- Colin Caster -- 9 May 02, 11:30 pm
Numbers need to come down to account for house vig, and square public -- Fezzik -- 14 May 02, 2:27 am
-1200 still too high -- Mike Keno -- 14 May 02, 5:06 am
Brainfade?:) -- StevieY -- 14 May 02, 9:26 am

 


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