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Earn 25% on your money in 46 days? (AL Central future)

Posted By: James
Date: 16 Aug 01, 11:22 am

This line has (understandably) dropped from when I first thought about it, but has it dropped nearly enough?

Cleveland to win AL Central: 1-4 (was 2-7 last night).

I can no longer make myself believe the Twins have even a 20% shot of winning their division. Currently they are 3.5 back (4 losses) with 42 to play (7 against Indians, including tonight), and their outfield is now decimated after they traded Lawton, just lost Allen for the season, and need Hocking to fill in for Guzman who just started batting but can't field yet in rehab. On the bright side, they have a series with Tampa coming up-- but that didn't work out so well last time, either.

Perhaps the brightest spot for the Twins is that the Indians have a brutal west coast trip coming up, with 4 in Oakland, 3 in Seattle.

OK, it's not quite free money, but is Cleveland at least a 90%+ shot to win the division?

Remaining 42 games (home/away):
Twins:
Cleveland 3/4
Tampa 3/0
Toronto 4/0
KC 0/3
Texas 3/3
Anaheim 3/3
Detroit 3/4
ChiSox 3/3

Indians remaining 43 games (home/away)
Twins 4/3
Anaheim 3/0
Oakland 0/4
Seattle 0/3
Boston 3/3
ChiSox 4/4
KC 3/3
Toronto 3/3

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