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Win Over / Unders

Posted By: Ricky
Date: 30 Jul 03, 2:49 am

Here are some Ov/erUnders that I've been considering. I just saw the line this morning. I don't know much about any of the players...just looking at it from a 'expected line' point of view.

Ohio State Under 10 -130 They play 12 games, alot of tough games. I can see why this line is so high since they are the defending National Champs, but it seems too high.

Michigan Under 9.5 +120 They have a tough schedule too. Add in Notre Dame and at Oregon, its not an easy road.

Wisconsin Under 9 -115 Again, another Big 10 school. Alot of these guys should knock each other around a little bit, shouldn't they?

Virginia Tech Under 10 -170 ... laying a lot of wood... but consider - 12 games, with real toughies vs MIAMI, at Pittsburgh and at Virginia. They should be no better than 50% to win each game on average, that brings it down to 10.5 expected already.

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Messages In This Thread

Win Over / Unders -- Ricky -- 30 Jul 03, 2:49 am
correlation of your proposed bets -- The OG -- 30 Jul 03, 5:33 am
Silly? -- Ricky -- 30 Jul 03, 6:09 am
Not silly at all, IMO -- James -- 30 Jul 03, 9:39 am
agree, but for the record, Mich and Wisky don't play (nt) -- rcdavies -- 30 Jul 03, 10:54 am
Mich looks primed for a big year. Just my opinion, but I expect -- Bob Milo -- 30 Jul 03, 6:56 pm
VTech will win 11/1 vs. Mia. -- Fezzik -- 31 Jul 03, 6:46 pm
why? (nt) -- Ricky -- 1 Aug 03, 11:10 am
The game is currently a "Pick'em", VaTech win not at all a "reach" (nt) -- TrendMan -- 1 Aug 03, 5:11 pm
no reach but... -- Ricky -- 2 Aug 03, 1:37 pm
Fez GOY - 70% not 55% (nt) -- Ben Dover -- 2 Aug 03, 3:15 pm
Exactly how many GOY's has Fez had that you predict 70% going forward? -- Goats -- 2 Aug 03, 5:11 pm
He doesn't, but he does say "back up the truck alot" (nt) -- Ben Dover -- 2 Aug 03, 5:17 pm
& Fez GOY shoudl hit >> 55% since he varies bet size -- Ben Dover -- 2 Aug 03, 6:03 pm
Response -- Goats -- 2 Aug 03, 6:09 pm
Ahh, so GOY is really misleading, bad phrase (nt) -- Ben Dover -- 2 Aug 03, 6:11 pm
Not necessarily -- Goats -- 2 Aug 03, 6:19 pm
The entire concept of GOY is misleading -- Ben Dover -- 2 Aug 03, 6:24 pm
Your own words -- Ben Dover -- 2 Aug 03, 6:33 pm
Then why did you use 70%? -- Goats -- 2 Aug 03, 6:44 pm
Phrases like GOY -- Ben Dover -- 2 Aug 03, 7:11 pm
Fair enough -- Goats -- 2 Aug 03, 8:15 pm
Can you tell me what his 5 weight plays have done? -- Ricky -- 2 Aug 03, 6:04 pm
one more thing -- Ricky -- 2 Aug 03, 6:07 pm
Agree (nt) -- Ben Dover -- 2 Aug 03, 6:09 pm
Thanks for taking the lure -- Ben Dover -- 2 Aug 03, 6:08 pm
no no no no no -- Ricky -- 2 Aug 03, 6:11 pm
But we really can't make that assumption -- Ben Dover -- 2 Aug 03, 6:12 pm
5 weight plays -- Ricky -- 2 Aug 03, 6:22 pm
However, there are caveats : Which are so important -- Ben Dover -- 2 Aug 03, 6:30 pm
no worries -- Ricky -- 2 Aug 03, 6:33 pm
Unfair -- Colin Caster -- 2 Aug 03, 6:58 pm
Oh you know how to get us in Catch 22 -- Ben Dover -- 2 Aug 03, 7:26 pm
Comments -- Ricky -- 3 Aug 03, 1:18 am
Ricky, it was a fun excercise -- Ben Dover -- 3 Aug 03, 6:59 am
I think Fezzik himself only claimed 60% for a "GOY" once -- TrendMan -- 4 Aug 03, 7:02 am

 


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