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NFL Forum
6,6-1/2 & 7 pt teasers
Posted By: Don Peszynski In Response To: Relating 6, 6.5 and 7 point teasers (phil palmer)
Date: 3 Sep 01, 4:12 pm
In the book, "Win More--Lose Less!", I showed a method for determining which of these teasers would be the most efficient to play based on the spreads of the two games being played. The methodology could easily be expanded to three or more teams. The table in the book (GBC) covers faves up to 13 pts and dogs up to 11 pts. Basically, you would pay for the extra 1/2 point or full point if the expectation of a push or 1/2 point loss is great enough. For instance, if you were teasing a 6-1/2 pt fave, you wouldn't want to pay extra for the point that takes you from -1/2 to +1/2--unless you were teasing it with a 9 or 9-1/2 pt fave. The game with the 9 pt fave has an expectation of ending fave by 3 about 8% of the time, which makes buying the extra 1/2 pt worth the extra money *even* when you're buying the "worthless" 1/2 pt off fave minus 1/2.
- Relating 6, 6.5 and 7 point teasers -- phil palmer -- 3 Sep 01, 3:09 pm
- 6,6-1/2 & 7 pt teasers -- Don Peszynski -- 3 Sep 01, 4:12 pm
- 6,6-1/2 & 7 pt teasers -- Don Peszynski -- 3 Sep 01, 4:12 pm
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