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NFL Forum
I'm sorry but
Posted By: John May In Response To: Wrong (StevieY)
Date: 26 Aug 01, 1:45 am
I flat bet, I make 6 figures a year. My top bet is 1.5 times my normal bet. Rarely have I gone any higher than that. I have grown tired of reading people talk about how there is only one way to do things. The "I do it the right way and everyone else is wrong" is bullshit. I feel comfortable doing it my way. Is it wrong? No. Is it right? For me yes, for others, maybe, maybe not.
I'm sorry but this is math. You can have a right answer and a wrong answer. Its not creative writing.
If your recommended Kelly bet is greater than 1.5 times your normal bet then not making it will lose money. You may factor in corrections to your Kelly bet because your assessment of edge is not perfect but that does not justify capping a bet-that just does not solve the problem.
- The Book: Sharp Sports Betting -- Joseph P -- 23 Aug 01, 11:01 am
- Short answer -- Don Schlesinger -- 23 Aug 01, 12:43 pm
- over-evaluation -- rainmandon -- 23 Aug 01, 1:12 pm
- Can't agree with that -- John May -- 23 Aug 01, 4:27 pm
- John is dead on. -- Fezzik -- 24 Aug 01, 11:59 pm
- Wrong -- StevieY -- 25 Aug 01, 11:42 am
- For newcomers to this page, . . . -- Don Schlesinger -- 25 Aug 01, 11:50 am
- I'm sorry but -- John May -- 26 Aug 01, 1:45 am
- I'm sorry but... -- StevieY -- 26 Aug 01, 10:32 am
- The human element -- John May -- 26 Aug 01, 2:34 pm
- the crux, IMO -- Colin Caster -- 26 Aug 01, 4:57 pm
- More nonsense -- Don Schlesinger -- 27 Aug 01, 8:14 am
- A proof -- John May -- 28 Aug 01, 11:10 am
- Grown-ups???? -- Don Schlesinger -- 28 Aug 01, 11:49 am
- Grown-ups???? -- Don Schlesinger -- 28 Aug 01, 11:49 am
- More nonsense -- Don Schlesinger -- 27 Aug 01, 8:14 am
- the crux, IMO -- Colin Caster -- 26 Aug 01, 4:57 pm
- The human element -- John May -- 26 Aug 01, 2:34 pm
- ok ok -- fezzik -- 28 Aug 01, 12:00 am
- I'm sorry but -- John May -- 26 Aug 01, 1:45 am
- For newcomers to this page, . . . -- Don Schlesinger -- 25 Aug 01, 11:50 am
- Wrong -- StevieY -- 25 Aug 01, 11:42 am
- John is dead on. -- Fezzik -- 24 Aug 01, 11:59 pm
- My approach should work for you -- Stanford Wong -- 23 Aug 01, 5:38 pm
- This is terribly wrong -- Kim Lee -- 23 Aug 01, 7:30 pm
- Kim Lee, I recognize you from bj21 -- Compador -- 24 Aug 01, 12:40 am
- Why sports betting is brutal -- Kim Lee -- 24 Aug 01, 8:10 am
- re: poker -- docriver -- 24 Aug 01, 8:30 am
- Blackjack, poker, sports -- Kim Lee -- 24 Aug 01, 8:51 am
- bj -- docriver -- 24 Aug 01, 9:58 am
- Playing level -- Kim Lee -- 24 Aug 01, 12:50 pm
- Playing level -- Kim Lee -- 24 Aug 01, 12:50 pm
- bj -- docriver -- 24 Aug 01, 9:58 am
- Question to Kim Lee from a novice?? -- big nguyen -- 24 Aug 01, 12:01 pm
- Reducing Vigorish and Scalping -- Kim Lee -- 24 Aug 01, 1:17 pm
- Your well on your way to winning -- Fezzik -- 24 Aug 01, 11:53 pm
- Further explanation requested. -- samo666 -- 25 Aug 01, 2:08 am
- 1st half betting -- fezzik -- 26 Aug 01, 10:28 pm
- 1st half betting -- fezzik -- 26 Aug 01, 10:28 pm
- Blackjack, poker, sports -- Kim Lee -- 24 Aug 01, 8:51 am
- re: poker -- docriver -- 24 Aug 01, 8:30 am
- Why sports betting is brutal -- Kim Lee -- 24 Aug 01, 8:10 am
- Kim Lee, I recognize you from bj21 -- Compador -- 24 Aug 01, 12:40 am
- over-evaluation -- rainmandon -- 23 Aug 01, 1:12 pm
- Short answer -- Don Schlesinger -- 23 Aug 01, 12:43 pm
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