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The easy answer.

Posted By: Math Boy
Date: 11 Nov 01, 4:03 pm

In Response To: Novice Question (Evan)

Go to a sportsbooks that have both the spread and the moneyline. Take out the vig. For example, if the line is visitor +120, home -140, then the vig-free line in the visitor is +130.

For underdogs, the probability of winning is:
100/(line+100).

For favorites, the probability of winning is:
-1*line/(100-line).

I don't think there is a real easy formula to move from point spreads to probabilities of winning directly.

Math Boy

Messages In This Thread

Novice Question -- Evan -- 11 Nov 01, 2:01 am
The easy answer. -- Math Boy -- 11 Nov 01, 4:03 pm

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